http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/custom/redeye/chi-040524suvs-story,1,7939439,print.story?coll=chi-news-hed
Fueling debate
Whats to blame for high gas prices? Look in your driveway
May 24, 2004
DETROIT -- Sorry folks: We're at least partly to blame for the ongoing pain at the gas pump.
Like it or not, we're burning more gas than ever before. Consumption has jumped nearly 24 percent since 1990. And the government says we're on track to burn another 48 percent by 2025.
Sure, there are more vehicles on the road. Between 1990 and 2001, the number of registered vehicles grew about 22 percent, according to the federal government. And the miles those vehicles traveled jumped 29 percent.
But the biggest reason consumption has risen so sharply is parked in many of our driveways: The number of light trucks, especially SUVs, has spiked in the past several years, growing about 74 percent between 1990 and 2001.
And since these vehicles consume more gas than passenger cars, they're likely responsible for the record level of fuel use, experts say.
The period between 1980 and 1990 showed only a 5 percent increase in fuel consumption compared with a 23.5 percent increase between 1990 and 2003.
In 1990, light trucks made up about a quarter of the nation's fleet, compared with 37 percent in 2001, the last year for which government figures are available.
Since these vehicles get fewer miles to the gallon than cars, they're driving up the amount of fuel we use. That use is straining already tight gas supplies. Experts say prices ultimately will move higher if things don't change.
"People enjoy bigger cars and SUVs and then scream bloody murder when there are higher gas prices,'' said Fadel Gheit, an oil analyst with Oppenheimer & Co. "Ultimately we will pay the price.''
Gas inventories are about 6 percent below what they were a year ago.
Fuel consumption is so high that the oil refineries are barely keeping up with demand, experts say.
On a more positive note Sunday, cnn.com reported that Saudi Arabia has agreed to increase its oil output starting next month by 28 percent and is "prepared" to increase output to its capacity of 10.5 million barrels per day, U.S. Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham said Sunday after meeting with the Saudi oil minister.
That likely won't cut the price of gas by more than a dime a gallon, some experts say, and we're burning gas at a record pace largely because we're dumping cars for trucks. More consumers have opted for SUVs and light trucks because they're big, they hold a lot of stuff and they can carry more people.
The rub is that many of them don't go far on a gallon of gasoline. The Ford Explorer, the nation's most popular SUV, barely gets 20 miles per gallon on the highway, compared with 30 m.p.g. for a Ford Focus, a small passenger car.
Some experts aren't convinced that light trucks are moving prices higher.
Ron Planting, an economist with the American Petroleum Institute, said worldwide demand for crude oil, especially in Asia, is influencing prices a lot more than SUVs.
Experts predict gas prices will continue to be high.
"People are going to want more oil, and inventories are going to be stressed to the limits," AAA Michigan spokesman Jim Rink said. "This isn't going to go away any time soon."
Copyright 2004, Chicago Tribune