Replaced the belts and tensioner today on my 2019 AWD non-turbo and wanted to add this these notes:
1.
The top bolt/nut on the tensioner was pretty tight and easily rounded with a 12 point box end wrench.
I would definitely recommend only using a 6 point wrench or socket (which is always good advice on a car) and recommend accessing it through the wheel well using a socket driver and a 3+ inch extension. This would also allow a torque wrench (17-22 ft lb, info thanks to Digbicks1234). Pic attached showing where I did that.
If you don't use a socket, I'd recommend buying a new nut (part #19994-00-801, info thanks to Digbicks1234).
The bottom bolt wasn't as tight but could not be accessed with my sockets/driver (I used a regular length box wrench from below) so I'd also recommend a 6 point wrench to break that free. Once it's broken free, any wrench can be used without fear of rounding the bolt and ratcheting wrench offers quite a bit of convenience but if you're using a box end wrench you must stop before the bolt is fully loose and touches the car's frame because then your wrench will be stuck on the bolt.
I'd also recommend a new bolt just in case it rounds (part #9YA0-2A-818, info thanks to Digbicks1234)
2.
Some people reported that Gates and Dayco water pump belts were excessively small and extremely hard to get on.
But aftermarket belts have the advantage of EPDM rubber which lasts way longer so I tried a Continential 4030325S.
It was fairly easy to get on using the zip tie trick - zip tie the belt in the correct place on the bottom of the pulley and then as it rotates around it will stay in the correct place. Just stop spinning and cut the zip tie before the zip tie tries to make another rotation.
I also used a Continental alternator belt which seems to fit well. The tensioner indicator is about 60% towards the max/right/front end of car mark. I'm not sure where it normally is with a new OEM belt.
And I've attached pictures of the numbers on my original tensioner which hasn't leaked at 62,000 miles. At least at some point people were interested in those.
Thanks to everyone who has shared details, pictures, and guides!