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- 2007 MS3
Totally irrelevant comment here, but you would like "Fooled by Randomness" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. He discusses, as one Amazon.com reviewer explained, "At risk of great oversimplification, Taleb argues quite articulately that extreme occurrences in a distribution happen a lot more frequently than humans are prone to believe." Basically, some of the most significant events in history are due to us generalizing the past, then getting burned by the statistically improbable. He mostly discusses trading in the stock markets, though, so like I said...totally irrelevant here, just a decent book to read.
If you like those kinds of books, you should read "The Pleasure of Finding Things Out" by Richard Feynman. The whole book is good, and you don`t need to be a technical genius to enjoy it. There is an excellent section where he rips NASA for their bogus statistical analysis that he believes contributed greatly to the Challenger disaster. If you don`t know the name, he is the physicist who dropped the o-ring into a glass of ice water and broke it during the hearings. Brilliant, brilliant man, and very entertaining.